Friendlies 3
Nov 14, 2024 at 12pm UK
Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground
Philippines national football team

Hong Kong
3 - 1
Philippines

Orr (45', 90+6'), Camargo (82')
(69'), Camargo (88'), Jones (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin Kristensen (48')
Gelito Ott (34'), David Tabinas (66'), Rublico (69'), Miguel Reyes (75'), Jax (80'), Monis (86'), Menzi (90')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Hong Kong and Philippines.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philippines

Last Game: Philippines 0-0 Tajikistan (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, September 8 at 9.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.

Result
Hong KongDrawPhilippines
53.36% (0.203 0.2)24.31% (0.022000000000002 0.02)22.33% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 50.98% (-0.348 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (-0.322 -0.32)50.36% (0.322 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (-0.284 -0.28)72.3% (0.28699999999999 0.29)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)18.81% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)50.24% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Philippines Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.79% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)37.2% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.392 -0.39)73.99% (0.393 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Hong Kong 53.35%
    Philippines 22.33%
    Draw 24.31%
Hong KongDrawPhilippines
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.77% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.27% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 53.35%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.33%

How you voted: Hong Kong vs Philippines

Hong Kong
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Philippines
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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