Hong Kong
2 - 0
Macao

Jones (27'), Merkies (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Hong Kong and Macao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macao

Last Game: Macao 0-0 Myanmar
Tuesday, October 17 at 12.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 78.71%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Macao had a probability of 7.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Macao win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hong Kong in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hong Kong.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Macao
78.71% ( 0.41)	13.4% ( -0.29)	7.89% ( -0.12)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Hong Kong	Draw	Macao
2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.93% Total : 78.7%	1-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.92% Total : 13.4%	1-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.2% Total : 7.89%

Hong Kong2 - 0Macao