Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.