Burgos

3 - 1

Cartagena

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 41.49%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.