Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Red Star win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.27) 
