Ligue 2 | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari

Bastia1 - 1Metz
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Metz.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Metz had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bastia | Draw | Metz |
41.5% (![]() | 28.78% (![]() | 29.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38% (![]() | 61.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.26% (![]() | 81.73% (![]() |
Bastia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% (![]() | 29.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% (![]() | 65.44% (![]() |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% (![]() | 37.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.96% (![]() | 74.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bastia 41.5%
Metz 29.7%
Draw 28.78%
Bastia | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 13.41% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 1.77% Total : 29.7% |
How you voted: Bastia vs Metz
Bastia
50.0%Draw
16.7%Metz
33.3%6
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Metz
3-2
Bastia
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Dec 10, 2016 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Metz
Cohade (45'), Niguette (52')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-03-15 22:30:23

Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lorient | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 55 |
2 | Metz | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 53 |
3 | Paris FCParis FC | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 52 |
4 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 48 |
5 | GuingampGuingamp | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
6 | Laval | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 43 |
7 | Annecy | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 40 |
8 | Bastia | 27 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 37 |
9 | Grenoble | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
10 | PauPau | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 34 |
11 | Ajaccio | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 34 |
12 | Troyes | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 33 |
13 | AmiensAmiens | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 33 |
14 | Red Star | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 32 |
15 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 31 |
16 | Clermont | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 26 |
17 | Martigues | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 25 |
18 | Caen | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 19 |
> Ligue 2 Full Table |
1

United-linked defender 'receives Premier League offer' as Amorim plans summer
2

Leicester vs. Man Utd injury, suspension list, predicted XIs
3

"Difficult selection choice": Should Nunez or Jota start up front for Liverpool?
4

Records tumble as fabulous France pip England to Six Nations title
5

Concern for Man City? Guardiola issues Ederson, Bernardo Silva injury update
6

Liverpool vs. Newcastle injury, suspension list, predicted XIs
7

Haaland breaks PL record but Brighton hold Man City in topsy-turvy thriller
8

'Revealed': How did Chelsea beat Man Utd to Quenda signing?
9

Saturday's La Liga predictions including Villarreal vs. Real Madrid
10

Survival Boost: Wolves edge closer to safety with win over relegation rivals

Sport News 24/7