We said: Leicester City 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton are a team to be taken extremely seriously in the Premier League this season, and we find it difficult to back the Seagulls to lose on their travels considering their form. Leicester will again be missing a number of important players, meanwhile, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
