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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 at 4pm UK
Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
1 - 0
Orenburg

Zhirov (50')
Camilo (58'), Silva (78'), Stolbov (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Basic (38'), Sliskovic (39'), Karatas (49'), Silva (86')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Dynamo Moscow
Monday, December 2 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Akron 1-0 Orenburg
Saturday, November 30 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akhmat Grozny in this match.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawOrenburg
46.1% (1.771 1.77) 25.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 28.27% (-1.806 -1.81)
Both teams to score 52.58% (-1.198 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99% (-1.057 -1.06)51.01% (1.058 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (-0.937 -0.94)72.88% (0.938 0.94)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (0.369 0.37)22.11% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (0.555 0.56)55.48% (-0.554 -0.55)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (-1.868 -1.87)32.5% (1.869 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (-2.155 -2.16)69.02% (2.156 2.16)
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 46.1%
    Orenburg 28.27%
    Draw 25.62%
Akhmat GroznyDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.57 0.57)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.123 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.513 0.51)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.344 -0.34)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.271 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.27%

Head to Head
Jul 28, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Orenburg
0-0
Akhmat Grozny
Perez (38'), Ghorbani (60')
Kovachev (19'), Ghandri (40'), Berisha (70')
Nov 26, 2023 9am
Gameweek 16
Orenburg
1-1
Akhmat Grozny
Obukhov (50')
Florentin (32'), Deogracia (33'), Perez (36'), Obukhov (45+1'), Kenyaykin (65'), Vorobyev (66')
Agalarov (65' pen.)
Berisha (39'), Agalarov (52'), Camilo (67'), Utsiyev (77'), Kharin (81')
Aug 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Akhmat Grozny
4-0
Orenburg
Timofeev (9'), Berisha (24'), Ilyin (35'), Camilo (87')
Ilyin (59')

Gojkovic (36'), Florentin (74'), Obukhov (74')
Mar 4, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 18
Akhmat Grozny
3-1
Orenburg
Kharin (11'), Berisha (45+3' pen.), Timofeev (90+4')
Vorobyev (45+6')
Oct 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Orenburg
2-1
Akhmat Grozny
Sychevoy (53'), Ayupov (68')
Konate (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC KrasnodarKrasnodar23157145133252
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit23145445153047
3Spartak Moscow24145545192647
4CSKA MoscowCSKA24145538162247
5Dynamo Moscow24127550282243
6Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv2412573936341
7Rubin Kazan2410683134-336
8RostovRostov249693638-233
9Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala246992226-427
10Akron TolyattiAkron2374122842-1425
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov2365122638-1223
12KhimkiKhimki2358102741-1423
13Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny2441192236-1423
14Nizhny Novgorod2455141944-2520
15Fakel2329121134-2315
16OrenburgOrenburg2435162145-2414
> Russian Premier League Full Table


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