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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 at 12.15am UK
Lower.com Field
FC Cincinnati

Columbus Crew
vs.
Cincinnati

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, May 15 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

We say: Columbus Crew 1-1 FC Cincinnati

While Columbus have struggled to turn performances into wins, they remain a difficult side to beat, and Cincinnati, despite their impressive position, have not shown the ruthlessness required to put teams away comfortably, which could prove costly against a resilient home side, making a draw the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 25.25% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.74%).

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
52.88% (-3.338 -3.34) 21.87% (0.964 0.96) 25.25% (2.374 2.37)
Both teams to score 62.67% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.48% (-2.067 -2.07)36.52% (2.067 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.33% (-2.289 -2.29)58.67% (2.29 2.29)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (-1.698 -1.7)13.98% (1.697 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51% (-3.448 -3.45)41.49% (3.45 3.45)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.706 0.71)27.15% (-0.705 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (0.911 0.91)62.55% (-0.91 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 52.88%
    FC Cincinnati 25.25%
    Draw 21.87%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.294 0.29)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.439 -0.44)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-2 @ 4.1% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.434 -0.43)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.387 -0.39)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.238 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.262 -0.26)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.88%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.567 0.57)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.099 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.8% (0.374 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.488 0.49)
0-1 @ 4.95% (0.576 0.58)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.432 0.43)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.262 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 25.25%

Who will win Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Columbus Crew and Cincinnati?

Columbus Crew
Draw
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
FC Cincinnati
25.0%
8
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 12.45am
Columbus Crew
1-2
Cincinnati
Arfsten (89')
Zawadzki (38'), Camacho (80')
Kelsy (74'), Acosta (76')
Miazga (34'), Kubo (37'), Nwobodo (70')
Dec 2, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-3
Columbus Crew
Vazquez (14'), Acosta (45+3')
Acosta (73'), Badji (82'), Vazquez (99'), Mosquera (117')
Powell (75' og.), Rossi (86'), Ramirez (115')
Moreira (45+2'), Gressel (120+1')
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-2
Columbus Crew
Acosta (17', 23' pen.), Moreno (67')
Miazga (63')
Zelarayan (40'), Amundsen (52')
Amundsen (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6New York City FCNY City136251514120
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
8Orlando City124622115618
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
10New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United123361325-1212
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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