MX23RW : Saturday, May 17 05:35:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Salford City

Carlisle
2 - 2
Salford City

Wearne (16'), Dennis (17')
Thomas (71'), Kelly (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Stockton (36'), Adelakun (62')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Salford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 4-1 Colchester
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
37.24% (0.914 0.91) 25.43% (-0.3 -0.3) 37.33% (-0.61 -0.61)
Both teams to score 56.23% (1.084 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (1.376 1.38)47.63% (-1.372 -1.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (1.257 1.26)69.83% (-1.254 -1.25)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (1.152 1.15)25.04% (-1.149 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (1.568 1.57)59.71% (-1.564 -1.56)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.29900000000001 0.3)24.99% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (0.412 0.41)59.64% (-0.409 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 37.24%
    Salford City 37.33%
    Draw 25.43%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.147 0.15)
2-0 @ 6% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.154 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 37.24%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.364 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.149 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.428 -0.43)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 37.33%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Salford City
0-1
Carlisle

Mnoga (57'), Austerfield (74'), Jones (89')
Barclay (88')
Adu-Adjei (28'), Neal (69')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Carlisle
2-3
Salford City
Garner (77'), Dennis (85' pen.)
Hendry (23'), Bolton (28', 88')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Salford City
1-4
Carlisle
Smith (52')
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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