League Two | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale0 - 1Gillingham
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Gillingham.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
65
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
40
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Gillingham |
50.69% ( -0.01) | 25.82% ( -0.2) | 23.49% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.9% ( 0.93) | 55.1% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.65% ( 0.76) | 76.35% ( -0.76) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( 0.38) | 21.78% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.03% ( 0.58) | 54.97% ( -0.58) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.25% ( 0.72) | 38.75% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.51% ( 0.68) | 75.49% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
Port Vale 50.69%
Gillingham 23.49%
Draw 25.81%
| Port Vale | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.69% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.5% Total : 23.49% |
Form Guide
