

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 28.49% ( | 22.85% ( | 48.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.51% ( | 38.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% ( | 60.78% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( | 25.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.11% ( | 60.89% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( | 16.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.47% ( | 45.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.49% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0-2 @ 6.95% ( 1-3 @ 5.72% ( 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0-4 @ 1.93% ( 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 1-5 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 64 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 62 | 44 | 18 | 57 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 53 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 43 |
| 8 | Montrose | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 20 |
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