

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday | 
| 45.32% (  0.12) | 26.21% (  0.01) | 28.47% (  -0.13) | 
| Both teams to score 50.91% (  -0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.75% (  -0.1) | 53.25% (  0.1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.19% (  -0.09) | 74.81% (  0.08) | 
| Stoke City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.57% (  0.01) | 23.43% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.57% (  0.02) | 57.43% (  -0.02) | 
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.48% (  -0.15) | 33.52% (  0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.84% (  -0.16) | 70.16% (  0.16) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Stoke City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday | 
| 1-0 @ 11.39% (  0.05) 2-1 @ 9.04% (  0) 2-0 @ 8.27% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 4.37% (  0) 3-0 @ 4% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.39% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.45% (  0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.32% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.85% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 4.94% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.58% (  -0) 1-2 @ 6.81% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.69% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.48% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.47% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 83 | 29 | 54 | 91 | 
| 2 | Burnley | 43 | 25 | 16 | 2 | 59 | 14 | 45 | 91 | 
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 43 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 86 | 
| 4 | Sunderland | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 76 | 
| 5 | Bristol City | 43 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 67 | 
| 6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 63 | 
| 8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 43 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 60 | 
| 9 | Millwall | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 60 | 
| 10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 43 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 59 | 
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 57 | 
| 12 | Watford | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 56 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 66 | 63 | 3 | 53 | 
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 53 | 
| 15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 53 | 
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 50 | 
| 17 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 10 | 19 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 49 | 
| 18 | Portsmouth | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 49 | 
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 48 | 
| 20 | Hull City | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | 
| 21 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 43 | 
| 22 | Luton TownLuton | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 43 | 
| 23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 43 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 68 | -23 | 42 | 
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 45 | 84 | -39 | 40 | 
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