Almeria

3 - 1

Castellon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.