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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Morecambe

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tilley (52'), Bugiel (66'), Stevens (70')
Lewis (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrie (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
58.91% (0.276 0.28) 22.95% (0.185 0.18) 18.14% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-1.395 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-1.434 -1.43)50.09% (1.429 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-1.291 -1.29)72.06% (1.285 1.29)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.411 -0.41)16.68% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (-0.736 -0.74)46.56% (0.73 0.73)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-1.382 -1.38)41.5% (1.376 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-1.239 -1.24)78% (1.234 1.23)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 58.9%
    Morecambe 18.14%
    Draw 22.95%
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.9%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.392 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.14%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Morecambe

AFC Wimbledon
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Morecambe
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Morecambe
Bugiel (50')
Tilley (62')
Stokes (74')
Khumbeni (11'), J (42'), Tutonda (66'), Davenport (86'), Melbourne (90+2')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Morecambe
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mellon (46', 61' pen., 88'), Lewis (51' og.)
Adams (58'), Davenport (65'), Tutonda (79')
Little (72')
Bugiel (57')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Morecambe
Marsh (83'), Ablade (90+1')
Wildig (58'), Leigh (65')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
3-4
AFC Wimbledon
Stockton (49', 65'), McLoughlin (54')
Leigh (73'), Delaney (89')
Hartigan (5'), Chislett (61'), Nightingale (72'), Assal (90+4')
Mebude (25'), Lawrence (35'), Chislett (67'), Assal (90+5')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fleming (76'), Devitt (80' pen.)
Fleming (76')
Francomb (90')
Meades (72'), Reeves (82')
Sweeney (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall35208764382668
2Bradford CityBradford35199748291966
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster351871051411061
4Notts County341610853351858
5AFC Wimbledon34169944232157
6Port Vale33151264234857
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe35141384336755
8Grimsby Town34165134850-253
9Bromley351312104541451
10Colchester UnitedColchester34111673932749
11Salford City341310114236649
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood351212114842648
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham341210124649-346
14Swindon TownSwindon351112125050045
15Newport CountyNewport34127154454-1043
16Chesterfield33119135042842
17BarrowBarrow34117163641-540
18MK Dons34116174449-539
19Gillingham34108162938-938
20Harrogate TownHarrogate35107182845-1737
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3499163952-1336
22Tranmere RoversTranmere35612172554-2930
23Morecambe3585223052-2229
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3469192550-2527


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