Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.