

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 47.83% ( | 24.9% ( | 27.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( | 48.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( | 70.71% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( | 20.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.24% ( | 52.75% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% ( | 31.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.55% ( | 68.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 70 |
| 2 | Livingston | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 67 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 59 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 49 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 49 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 34 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 34 |
| 9 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 61 | -27 | 28 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 21 |
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