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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
39.53% (![]() | 26.01% (![]() | 34.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.57% (![]() | 50.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% (![]() | 72.36% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.91% (![]() | 25.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.23% (![]() | 59.76% (![]() |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% (![]() | 27.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% (![]() | 63.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.71% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.36% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.94% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 |
P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 |
P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 |
4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 |
6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 |
7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 |
8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 |
10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 |
11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 |
19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 |
R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |