Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
