Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.