MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 04:13:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Dec 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Sportpark De Toekomst
De Graafschap

Jong Ajax
2 - 0
De Graafschap

Rasmussen (12'), Bounida (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Jong Ajax
Friday, November 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 3-1 VVV-Venlo
Sunday, December 1 at 11.15am in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawDe Graafschap
36.82% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.75% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 39.42% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.36% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (-0.286 -0.29)39.69% (0.285 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (-0.298 -0.3)62.04% (0.298 0.3)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.134 -0.13)21.66% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-0.205 -0.2)54.79% (0.203 0.2)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6% (-0.146 -0.15)20.39% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (-0.232 -0.23)52.81% (0.231 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 36.82%
    De Graafschap 39.42%
    Draw 23.75%
Jong AjaxDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.76% (0.062 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.17% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 36.82%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 39.42%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap

Jong Ajax
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
De Graafschap
55.6%
18
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 31
De Graafschap
0-2
Jong Ajax
Banel (62'), Chourak (90+8')
Agougil (32'), Banel (74'), Chahid (90+7')
Aug 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Jong Ajax
1-2
De Graafschap
Hlynsson (79')
Martha (63')
Onal (6'), Flakus Bosilj (59')
Onal (35'), Lammers (41'), Hillen (44'), Warmerdam (80'), Wevers (90+6')
Jan 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 20
De Graafschap
3-0
Jong Ajax
Benschop (26', 83'), Haen (90+2')
Aug 22, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Jong Ajax
5-1
De Graafschap
Hansen (9', 44'), Misehouy (70'), Rasmussen (73'), Lucca (80')
Warmerdam (3')
Neghli (42')
Schenk (23')
May 6, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Jong Ajax
1-1
De Graafschap
Martha (78')
Fortes (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam34244679364376
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34198762352765
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag34189755381763
4Dordrecht35188962441862
5Cambuur351951156381862
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap351781066452159
7TelstarTelstar3515101062431955
8EmmenEmmen35165145447753
9Den BoschDen Bosch35149125145651
10Roda JC35139134652-648
11Helmond SportHelmond351210135255-346
12Jong AZJong AZ35129146360345
13FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven35129145360-745
14VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo35108173859-2138
15MVV MaastrichtMVV35910165155-437
16TOP OssOss35812152756-2936
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax3588193651-1532
18Jong PSVJong PSV3476215075-2527
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht35311212776-4920
20Vitesse351010154868-2010


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!