MX23RW : Saturday, January 28 08:47:36| >> :60:332:332:
Sep 23, 2022 at 1.25pm UK at National Olympic Stadium
Japan
2 - 0
USA
Kamada (24'), Mitoma (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between Japan and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Brazil
Monday, June 6 at 11.20am in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay357
2Chile346
3Japan3-42
4Ecuador3-51
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Japan 1-1 USA

Even though the Americans are ranked 10 places higher than Japan according to FIFA, we do not believe on paper that the US are that much better, especially seeing as they have played primarily against teams from CONCACAF over the past few years. There is quality and creativity on both sides, and they each have plenty of experience with top European clubs, but we expect defensively that each team will be able to keep the scoring chances to a minimum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 47.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for USA had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawUSA
47.41% (0.468 0.47) 26.79% (-0.374 -0.37) 25.8% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.32% (0.95 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.05% (1.262 1.26)56.95% (-1.259 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (1.001 1)77.86% (-1 -1)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (0.779 0.78)24.05% (-0.777 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68% (1.098 1.1)58.32% (-1.096 -1.1)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (0.619 0.62)37.7% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (0.596 0.6)74.47% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Japan 47.4%
    USA 25.8%
    Draw 26.79%
JapanDrawUSA
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.124 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.154 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 47.4%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.447 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 25.8%

How you voted: Japan vs USA

Japan
48.1%
Draw
17.0%
USA
34.9%
106
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal19162145162950
2Manchester CityMan City20143353203345
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20109133112239
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd2012353225739
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs2111374031936
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton1994637271031
7Fulham219483230231
8Brentford207943228430
9Liverpool198563425929
10Chelsea208572221129
11Aston Villa208482327-428
12Crystal Palace206681827-924
13Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest205691635-1921
14Leicester CityLeicester2053122835-718
15Leeds UnitedLeeds194692633-718
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2053121725-818
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2045111230-1817
18Bournemouth2045111942-2317
19Everton2036111528-1315
20Southampton2043131735-1815

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