Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Caen had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
