Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Caen had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
