Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
