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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
59.36% | 22.41% | 18.23% |
Both teams to score 50.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.24% | 47.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.05% | 69.95% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.29% | 15.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.2% | 44.8% |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.97% | 40.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.32% | 76.68% |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.22% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.64% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.08% Total : 18.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 |
10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 |
14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 |
21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 |
22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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