Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 32.76% | 26.97% | 40.27% |
| Both teams to score 50.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.36% | 54.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% | 75.98% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% | 31.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.51% | 67.49% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% | 26.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.15% | 61.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.76% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
| 15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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