MX23RW : Friday, April 25 02:49:36| >> :60:1839:1839:
Philadelphia Union
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
Apr 26, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Subaru Park
DC United

Philadelphia
vs.
DC United

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 DC United
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We say: Philadelphia Union 3-1 DC United

Recent meetings between Saturday's opponents suggest a high-scoring affair, and we are expecting the game to pan out that way. That said, we are also backing the home side to flex their muscle in front of goal once again en route to a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for DC United has a probability of 28.61% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest DC United win is 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.6%).

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
48.17% (0.212 0.21) 23.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 28.61% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 60.9% (0.103 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.82% (0.183 0.18)40.18% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.45% (0.189 0.19)62.55% (-0.187 -0.19)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.07% (0.149 0.15)16.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53% (0.262 0.26)47% (-0.261 -0.26)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.68% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)61.94% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 48.17%
    DC United 28.61%
    Draw 23.22%
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 48.17%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.61%

Who will win Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Philadelphia and DC United?

Philadelphia Union
Draw
DC United
Philadelphia Union
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 11.15pm
Philadelphia
4-0
DC United
Uhre (13'), Gazdag (16', 70'), Baribo (51')

Herrera (25'), Dajome (90+3')
May 5, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Philadelphia
Dajome (9'), Murrell (33')
Ku-Dipietro (90+2')
Bedoya (42'), McGlynn (79')
Carranza (20'), Flach (45+2'), Lowe (45+2')
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-3
Philadelphia
Ku-Dipietro (88')
Miller (36')
Uhre (5'), McGlynn (13'), Gazdag (38' pen.)
Harriel (68'), Glesnes (76'), Donovan (90+4')
May 18, 2023 12.55am
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-6
Philadelphia
Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')
rhs 2.0
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