Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nimes win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Metz had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nimes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nimes would win this match.
