Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%).
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Nimes | 
| 42.94% | 26.92% | 30.13% | 
| Both teams to score 49.69% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.75% | 55.25% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.52% | 76.48% | 
| Metz Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.51% | 25.48% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.68% | 60.32% | 
| Nimes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.68% | 33.32% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.06% | 69.94% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Metz | Draw | Nimes | 
| 1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.94% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.13% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 23 | 36 | 57 | 
| 2 | Marseille | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 52 | 
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 50 | 
| 4 | Lens | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 49 | 
| 5 | Lille | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 | 
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 43 | 
| 7 | Lorient | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 39 | 
| 8 | Nice | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 38 | 
| 9 | Lyon | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 | 
| 10 | Reims | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 34 | 
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 32 | 
| 12 | Clermont | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 | 
| 13 | NantesNantes | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 28 | 
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 26 | 
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 21 | 
| 16 | Brest | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 20 | 
| 17 | Troyes | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 19 | 
| 18 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 18 | 
| 19 | Ajaccio | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 45 | -27 | 18 | 
| 20 | Angers | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 10 | 
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