Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
