Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
