

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Walsall |
| 47.37% ( | 24.29% ( | 28.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( | 45.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( | 67.62% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( | 19.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.08% ( | 50.92% ( |
| Walsall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( | 29.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.51% ( | 65.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Walsall |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.37% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 28.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 69 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 66 |
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 63 |
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Notts County | 37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 61 |
| 6 | Port Vale | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 61 |
| 7 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 58 |
| 8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 56 |
| 10 | Salford City | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 53 |
| 11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 52 |
| 12 | Chesterfield | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
| 13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 54 | -3 | 50 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 49 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 47 |
| 16 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 46 |
| 17 | BarrowBarrow | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 44 |
| 18 | MK Dons | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 40 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 40 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 36 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 30 |
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 27 |
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