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Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Gillingham

Colchester
0 - 1
Gillingham


Iandolo (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Malone (54')
Bonne (80'), Lapslie (90'), Malone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-2 Gillingham

This match promises to be a tight and tense affair, with both sides desperate to get their 2024 off to a bright start. Colchester's home advantage and potentially better conversion might give them a chance in the match, but Gillingham's defensive resilience and ability to create a lot of chances might see them edge this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
39.71% (0.113 0.11) 26% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 34.29% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)50.4% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)72.34% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.072000000000003 0.07)24.97% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.098999999999997 0.1)59.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)28.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)63.73% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 39.71%
    Gillingham 34.29%
    Draw 26%
Colchester UnitedDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.29%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Gillingham
0-3
Colchester

Malone (35'), Williams (41')
Coleman (86')
Kelleher (64'), Tovide (77'), Ihionvien (82')
Taylor (18'), Egbo (33'), Tchamadeu (40'), Ihionvien (83')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Colchester
0-2
Gillingham
Tutonda (36'), Nichols (45+3')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
1-1
Colchester
Gillingham win 5-4 on penalties
Walker (43')
Akinde (45')
Sep 7, 2021 7.30pm
Group Stage
Colchester
0-1
Gillingham

Kennedy (53')
McKenzie (90+3')
Lintott (38'), O'Keefe (44'), MacDonald (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall392011868442471
2Bradford CityBradford392010952322070
3Port Vale391813849381167
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster381991057441366
5AFC Wimbledon3918111052292365
6Notts County3918111058391965
7Grimsby Town39195155455-162
8Colchester UnitedColchester39141694739858
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe39141694539658
10Salford City381511124743456
11Chesterfield3815101359441555
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood391314125348553
13Bromley391313135150152
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham391311155157-650
15Swindon TownSwindon391115135556-148
16BarrowBarrow39139174346-348
17MK Dons39137195159-846
18Newport CountyNewport39137194864-1646
19Gillingham381111163240-844
20Accrington StanleyAccrington391012174555-1042
21Harrogate TownHarrogate39119193049-1942
22Tranmere RoversTranmere39913173055-2540
23Morecambe3996243457-2333
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle39710223059-2931


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