

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Gillingham | 
| 39.71% (  0.11) | 26% (  -0.01) | 34.29% (  -0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 53.96% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.59% (  0.03) | 50.4% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.66% (  0.02) | 72.34% (  -0.03) | 
| Colchester United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.02% (  0.07) | 24.97% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.37% (  0.1) | 59.62% (  -0.1) | 
| Gillingham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.93% (  -0.05) | 28.07% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.27% (  -0.06) | 63.73% (  0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Colchester United | Draw | Gillingham | 
| 1-0 @ 9.73% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 8.57% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 6.75% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 3.96% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 3.12% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% (  0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 12.35% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.01% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.07% (  0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.91% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.85% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.66% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.32% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.4% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.06% (  -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.29% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 71 | 
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 70 | 
| 3 | Port Vale | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 67 | 
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 66 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 65 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 65 | 
| 7 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 62 | 
| 8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 58 | 
| 9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 58 | 
| 10 | Salford City | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 56 | 
| 11 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 | 
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 53 | 
| 13 | Bromley | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 52 | 
| 14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 50 | 
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 48 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 48 | 
| 17 | MK Dons | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 46 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 | 
| 19 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 44 | 
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 42 | 
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 42 | 
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 40 | 
| 23 | Morecambe | 39 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 33 | 
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
