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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Gillingham |
39.71% (![]() | 26% (![]() | 34.29% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.59% (![]() | 50.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.66% (![]() | 72.34% (![]() |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% (![]() | 24.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% (![]() | 59.62% (![]() |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% (![]() | 28.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.27% (![]() | 63.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 9.73% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 12.35% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.91% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 71 |
2 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 70 |
3 | Port Vale | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 67 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 66 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Notts County | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 65 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 62 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 58 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 58 |
10 | Salford City | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 56 |
11 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 53 |
13 | Bromley | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 52 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 50 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 48 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 48 |
17 | MK Dons | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 46 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
19 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 44 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 42 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 42 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 40 |
23 | Morecambe | 39 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 33 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 |
> League Two Full Table |