

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
| 33.82% ( | 28.74% ( | 37.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.97% ( | 61.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.98% ( | 81.02% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( | 33.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.62% ( | 70.38% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( | 31.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.27% | 67.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 4.2% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 12.26% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Walsall | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 71 |
| 2 | Bradford CityBradford | 39 | 20 | 10 | 9 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 70 |
| 3 | Port Vale | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 67 |
| 4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 66 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 65 |
| 6 | Notts County | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 65 |
| 7 | Grimsby Town | 39 | 19 | 5 | 15 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 62 |
| 8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 58 |
| 9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 39 | 14 | 16 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 58 |
| 10 | Salford City | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 56 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 |
| 12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 53 |
| 13 | Bromley | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 52 |
| 14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 48 |
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 48 |
| 17 | MK Dons | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 46 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 44 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 42 |
| 22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 40 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 39 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 33 |
| 24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 39 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 |
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