Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.