FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Sheff Weds4 - 0Cardiff
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Cardiff
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 Cardiff City
With both sides likely to rotate heavily at the weekend as we emerge from the busy festive period, Cardiff have slightly more quality to call on and will fancy themselves to score a third win of the season over their hosts to progress to the fourth round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Cardiff City |
46.2% ( 0.05) | 25.66% ( 0.01) | 28.15% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
