We said: Czech Republic 2-0 Faroe Islands
Despite their lowly standing in the section, the Faroe Islands' backline has not been carved open at will by their Group E foes, and a Czech Republic side reeling from Thursday's horror show should not be expected to run riot in Plzen.
However, with Silhavy still able to call upon a healthy set of reserve options on home soil, the Czechs should almost certainly get their qualification charge back on track, while maintaining their perfect defensive record against their beleaguered visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 8.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 3-0 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
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