World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 3am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Tahiti2 - 0Vanuatu
Spokeyjack (8' og.), Mathon (67' pen.)
Degrumelle (43'), Spokeyjack (90+4'), Kaspard (90+4')
Degrumelle (43'), Spokeyjack (90+4'), Kaspard (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kaltack (79'), Axiel Ruben (82'), Spokeyjack (88')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Tahiti and Vanuatu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Samoa 0-3 Tahiti
Friday, November 15 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, November 15 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: New Zealand 8-1 Vanuatu
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Friday, November 15 at 6.30am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tahiti win with a probability of 71.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tahiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tahiti would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tahiti | Draw | Vanuatu |
71.45% ( 0.19) | 15.34% ( -0.24) | 13.2% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 64.82% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
