World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 6.30am UK
FMG Stadium Waikato
New Zealand8 - 1Vanuatu
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between New Zealand and Vanuatu.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: New Zealand 4-0 Malaysia
Monday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies
Monday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Vanuatu 4-1 Samoa
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Saturday, October 12 at 4am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 90.28%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 2.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 4-0 (11.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.45%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (1.05%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand | Draw | Vanuatu |
90.28% ( -0.16) | 7.3% ( 0.12) | 2.42% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 34.07% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
