
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 52.83% ( | 24.11% ( | 23.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( | 48.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( | 70.9% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( | 18.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.41% ( | 49.59% ( |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( | 35.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.58% ( | 72.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 |
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 46 |
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 |
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 |
| 21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 37 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Fylde | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 36 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 |
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