Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.