MX23RW : Saturday, May 10 15:36:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Rakow

Jagiellonia
4 - 2
Rakow

Naranjo (12', 33'), Nene (46', 63')
Romanczuk (56'), Naranjo (74'), Pululu (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Svarnas (22'), Zwolinski (86')
Berggren (52')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-2 Jagiellonia
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Rakow
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
41.38% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.73% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 31.89% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 50.97% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (0.469 0.47)53.94% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (0.393 0.39)75.39% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.11799999999999 0.12)25.7% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.16 0.16)60.62% (-0.163 -0.16)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.434 0.43)31.39% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (0.499 0.5)67.76% (-0.503 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.37%
    Rakow Czestochowa 31.89%
    Draw 26.73%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Rakow
3-0
Jagiellonia
Zwolinski (45+2', 63' pen.), Nowak (65')

Pululu (9'), Nastic (10'), Imaz Balleste (30'), Nene (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Rakow CzestochowaRakow31198447192865
2Lech Poznan31203864293563
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia31168752391356
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin311651052361653
5Legia WarsawLegia30148855391650
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik32137124236646
7KS CracoviaCracovia31129105249345
8Korona Kielce311110103340-743
9Motor Lublin31127124454-1043
10Katowice31126134242042
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice321012103535042
12Radomiak Radom32117144447-340
13Widzew Lodz30107133443-937
14Lechia GdanskGdansk3196163651-1533
15Zaglebie Lubin3196163047-1733
16Slask Wroclaw32610163651-1528
17Puszcza Niepolomice3169163457-2327
18Stal Mielec3168173250-1826


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