Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.