MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 09:19:18| >> :60:1515:1515:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
2 - 0
Crusaders

Owen (4'), Clarke (37')
Clarke (63'), Thomas (77'), Owen (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Offord (15'), Stewart (31'), Clarke (45+1'), Lowry (67'), O'Rourke (77')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Caernarfon Town and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, May 18 at 2.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Crusaders

All competitions
Last Game: Crusaders 3-2 Coleraine
Monday, May 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (7.34%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCrusaders
24.35% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 21.51% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 54.14% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 62.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.33% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.67% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.26% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)57.73% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.02000000000001 0.02)27.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.83% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)13.29% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)40.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 24.35%
    Crusaders 54.14%
    Draw 21.51%
Caernarfon TownDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 6.16% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.72% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.06% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 24.35%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.11% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 54.14%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!