
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Boston United win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 24.28% (  -0.13) | 22.76% (  0.03) | 52.96% (  0.1) | 
| Both teams to score 58.41% (  -0.23) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.35% (  -0.23) | 41.65% (  0.24) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.95% (  -0.24) | 64.05% (  0.24) | 
| Boston United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.33% (  -0.23) | 30.67% (  0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.08% (  -0.27) | 66.92% (  0.27) | 
| Hartlepool United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.24% (  -0.05) | 15.75% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.13% (  -0.09) | 44.86% (  0.09) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Boston United | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 2-1 @ 6.24% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.71% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 3.37% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.46% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.27% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.33% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.28% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 5.76% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.83% (  0.05) 3-3 @ 1.4% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 9.75% (  0.01) 0-1 @ 8.93% (  0.08) 0-2 @ 8.25% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 6.01% (  -0) 0-3 @ 5.08% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 3.55% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.78% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.35% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 1.64% (  -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.03% (  -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 52.96% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 | 
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 | 
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 62 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 60 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 56 | 
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 55 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 | 
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 | 
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 50 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 | 
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 46 | 
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 | 
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 | 
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 | 
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 | 
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 | 
| 21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 37 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 37 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 36 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 | 
| > National League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
