Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
