Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
