Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Vissel Kobe - J1 League - September 19, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sep 19, 2020 at 9am UK at Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Kanazaki (42' pen., 56' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Yamaguchi (15')
Osaki (41'), Nishi (64'), Samper (68'), Maekawa (68')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Vissel Kobe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Vissel Kobe
39.09%	25.86%	35.05%

Both teams to score 54.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.34%

49.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.32%

71.67%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03%

24.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39%

59.61%

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75%

27.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33%

62.67%

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 39.09%

Vissel Kobe 35.05%

Draw 25.85%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.09%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3% Total : 35.05%