Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.
-0.19) 
0.06) 
